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August 30, 2008

A New Endeavor

Announcing for those of you interested, I have with help from Jordan set up a new site to discuss my status as an "Armchair Political Pundit".

http://www.armchairpolitics.net

I am doing this for two reasons really. Mainly I wanted to share my political views and knowledge, but I didn't feel it fell under a Blatant Obfuscation topic. Also I felt I wanted to give others I know a place where they could also share their political thoughts with the understanding we have no real clue the inner workings of the minds of politicians nor the any clue of the back room deals made within the political machines also known as political parties.

Well, enjoy those who venture there...

~u

Start of the NCAA Football Season

To the surprise of a a lot of people, I tend to be knowledgeable in the realm of sports. Now mind you I don't know a lot of the particulars or the records that are set, but I do know enough of about each of the sports to hold my own. Problems arise that I have a hard time following most team sports because the number of games played in a single season exceeds my artificial limit of interest.

Take baseball, the season starts in April and ends in October. Baseball isn't interesting until September because you start 'weeding' out historically the best teams. I will admit I will watch the All Star game in July just because it has merit for the World Series, but otherwise all of the information that can be provided by playing so many games is not very interesting. I guess the same can be true for basketball.

I am partially biased due to hearing announcers come up with random facts, pass them off as a statistic and talk about nothing really. I am not really interested in hearing about batting percentage of a left handed hitter against a right handed pitcher during a night game on Tuesdays. It seems useless.

Now I will follow football. I follow football religiously. It may have something to do with the place I was raised. [Football is a religion in Texas...it just is...] But it is one of those things that you start in September by December the season is over. You know things. Football over the last 10 years has extended the bowl games for college into the second week of January and the NFL goes until the first of February. 19 games is the most I have to follow.

Interesting things come into play. Looking at a stochastic decision model, it is important to look at what you have available to you, where you are on the field and what down it is. A decision becomes interesting if you know that going into the wind your quarterback can make a 15 yard pass, your opponent is gonna blitz on the down because you are on the 30 yard line, so the question is the best play to call. [If anyone is wondering stochastic models are interesting to me...stochastic is a form of random...]

So this week marks the beginning of a 17 week enjoyable time, with college games on every Saturday, and an opportunity to be armchair coaches come Monday to discuss what teams should have done, and what the outcome of the upcoming week will be...

August 29, 2008

Facebook status

August 25
James is overjoyed by how much work the bootcamp produces allowing him to be rather antisocial...

So the hectic life of bootcamp came to a close this week. I am grateful for the time spent getting a glimpse into the next year, but it is still a lot to process. So with the getting to campus by 8 to the being on campus until 8 to the eventual laundry list of things that were really important for the next day, I chugged along.

On Wednesday, the first year students, who stuck it around, got what would be their TAing assignments. I had a good clue to what I was to be doing, because I have been around and was kind of told what I was to be doing...

So when there was a change of that assignment, I asked a question. I didnt realize that I was causing 'tension' to occur as I was latter told. Some basic thoughts there is that even though there are ten first year students, not everyone is on the same boat. 5 of the 10 are part of an integrated program where they are finishing a undergrad degree in addition to being a master's program over the next 2 years. The goal is that they are going to complete in 5 years what it takes other people to do in 6. Of the remaining 5 new students, 3 come from universities other than BYU and have no former relationship with the faculty, and besides myself the other person graduated a couple years back with a minor in stats and so not really sure what that means.

So, having Dr. Scott tell me after the fact that I had caused 'tension' when I asked Dr. Grimshaw if I was going to continue doing the research I had started months ago or if I really was going to be TAing 20 hours a week. The feeling was that all the first years should be treated equally [which is odd given historical data] and that it would be unfair for me to be assigned 10 hours TAing and 10 hours research.

But there is an inherent difference between all the groups. Take the integrated people, they are given less of an assignment because they are working on finishing up other requirements, and they aren't expected to be as far along as someone with a degree. The people walking in with degrees sort of just showed up at the beginning of bootcamp, and therefore there is no knowledge of what they can and cant do, but someone who was walked in already working on something should have it recognized.

Now I am not trying to be treated as a 'favored child' as people have put it, but as it was pointed out, might as well allow someone to work on a Master's Project early instead of delaying it an entire year.

History has shown that last year they were more than willing to show favoritism to parties, either because they were well liked or that they had something going for them, it should be no different now, especially as not a lot has changed, if anything, to how you approach the situation.

oh well...

~u

August 21, 2008

From Facebook

From August 18 -- James is working on surviving the stat department's grad student boot camp...

What does this mean you might be asking? Let me explain the past week of my life.

On Monday morning I arose at 6ish...the exact time is vague to me...the days have begun running together it seems. I got ready for the day and out the door, because of certain people keeping me up late, I was tired and so I planned to head to campus early get my mug and fill it before the boot camp started. By the time everything was settled and I sat down in a chair for the boot camp orientation meeting at 8, I was already wishing I hadn't gotten up and out of bed. Now this is where it begins to become interesting. For 2 hours, Dr. Whiting (the faculty member assigned to direct the efforts of the next two weeks) talked about stat theory and miscellaneous things. He assigned some easy homework and we broke for lunch about 10:30ish [who has lunch that early is beyond me...] around noon-ish we got together again and began reviewing statistical methods.

I think I need to explain something here...the purpose of boot camp is to review the concepts of the core 4 classes the department has. These are 2 course sequence in theory [Stat 441 & 442] and a 2 course sequence in methods [Stat 336 & 337]. Mind you at best this is 2 semesters of 14 weeks of instruction. Doing the 'university-minded' math applied to the courses and the number of credit hours and the like you end up with 630 hours you would put into the 4 courses.

For those that need it, you take the number of credit hours a course is, multiply by 14 and get the number of instructional hours in the course. Multiply the instructional time by 3 to get the total time needed for that course over the length of a semester. With Stat 441, 442 and 337 being 3 credit hours and Stat 336 being a beast of a 6 credit hour course you have a lot of time there.

Again that 630 hours of work and instruction is spread out over minimum of 2 semesters with a potential of doing it over more. Now, in 2 weeks we are reviewing what some of us (I count 4 or 5 that have complete both sequences) did over time and that most of everyone else has never really had presented in this manner. So for the 2 weeks they are playing catch up, and others are playing remember, and I am feeling in over my head.

So the result is a lot of time spent on campus. In reality Monday was not so bad because we were barely getting started, and Tuesday we had minimal homework. Now this is where the fun fact of what was going on blows up. Wednesday and Thursday the homework was piled on. Now I dont mind it, nor do I think it bad, it just is that being to campus by 8 and then spending most of the day either 'reviewing' material or doing the assigned homework, and not leaving campus until after 6 starts to get at you.

So when I say I am working on surviving I am really working on trying to make it thru the day and to bed at a reasonable time to get to the next day.

~u

August 14, 2008

For those without Facebook...

My status updates for the last month or so...

August 12
James is tired of wishing on someone else's star...
August 4
James has been reminded of a ill-spent youth and one of many bad ideas that happened to have been acted on...
August 1
James has been wondering if any thing he does seems to have any impact on his life...
July 21
James was hoping that his ulterior motives would have had more amicable results...
July 17
James is in need of a friend...
July 14
James is thinking that he wastes a lot of time doing absolutely nothing...
July 10
James needs a person to talk to that he isn't related to because there are no private conversations in his family.
July 5
James is probably a fool, but that is to be expected...
June 30
James feels like a fool...
James just wishes that the day would hurry up already...
James woke up early with nothing to do...
June 28
James is hiding on campus in his office...which isnt technically hiding...
June 27
James is not really here...
June 26
James is working on looking busy...
June 25
James is wondering what to do with his evening...
James is looking to waste sometime...beyond playing Mario Kart in his office...
June 23
James feels like a goofball...

~u

Told I dont update enough...

Yeah I have been told be various sources that I dont update enough...some have questioned why even have a blog if I am unwilling to update the blog in the first place. I have comments to make...

Why not have a blog that you choose to publish and unpublish and delay publish entries on whims? Ever thought about that...

Now over the last month and a half I have written 6 or so entries...but none of them came to the published column because they didnt need to be. I do mean that...look at the name of the blog...I not providing updates is one of many ways to obfuscate....

Also its a blog...I dont care who reads it...but having run into a few blogs that are now password protected for various reasons...I refuse to sign up for them nor manage another password in my lists.

Now I do keep up to date on various websites for the simple being kept apprise of the situation...but Facebook statuses [ which according to webster is proper plural of status, it just looks wrong] are the most fun and probably the most honest look...that is what I update...one sentence changes that track better than this place...

~u

August 1, 2008

Blacklist revisit...

So I took sometime to update the blacklist on the website. It was old, I had gotten over most of my angry moments...maybe not all of them...I am still a little annoyed about the book thing, but that has more to do with me not really like loaning things out without 'trusting' parties involved...

So I need to note that the PoliSci thing should be a given, but some people have yet to connect the two things of supposed political pundit and political scientist. On a side note here and for the general information purposes, how can PoliSci be a science or call it such? They just make conjectures from situations and never seem to dig deep or follow any repeatable operation to come to the conclusions they do. My father once shared that he was a poli-sci major in college at BYU [He double majored in PoliSci and Criminal Justice (or the like)] and never really saw how he could do anything with the degree. I don't think he ever has used that particular knowledge bank in his years since leaving BYU...but that is my opinion.

Also of note is the moving of people around as I see fit. Mike fell down, and it has a lot to do with the lack of "kill the bunnies" that has been occurring of recent. What good is it to get your friend and his wife hooked on a card game if they refuse to play with you?

And for those of you who will most likely ask, yes I recently went to watch a movie in the movie theater and had the best part of the movies ruined for me because of a crying infant that woke up and the couple who brought it didn't immediately remove the crying child from the theater in fear of missing something. I can see why people don't like kids, especially when they arent your own.

Also I made the list it's own category and all explanation of the list into a separate and most likely a more important category because here I might rant about the changes...

~u

Blacklist

The White List
No one

The Gray List
Family Members

The Blacklist 1
General Population of the Planet
People who took Stat336 in the Fall 2007 semester
Mike Ulrich

The Blacklist 2
People named Nels

The Blacklist 3
People with fake names
People aged 17 to 19
And for the most part BYU Coeds...

The Blacklist 4
People who bring infants to movies

The Blacklists 5-7
Political Pundits
People claiming to be Political Pundits
Everyone seeking re-election to a national political office
BYU's Political Science Department

~u